Downward revised profit of $57-$66m equals approx EPS of $0.19
Costa is looking like it is another cyclical type company, rather than a stalwart earnings grower. The market will consistently pay up in PE multiple terms for a stalwart earnings grower (think CSL) but not a cyclical performer.
Price still looks over valued to me. At approx $4.00 PE is still higher than 20.
On a ROE valuation:
$0.19/$1.40 book value equals ROE of 13%
Ok but nothing great.
Hard to justify a share price to book value multiple of 2.85 against an ROE of 13%.
I am happy to sit on the sidelines and watch.
Around $3 I will become more interested.
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