Well done, albeit rather conservative, which is probably for the...

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Jehosephat

2,728 Posts.

377

10/10/17

10:15

Post #: 27783705

Originally posted by p_barnes101 ↑

Q3 report should be out before the 20th going from when past announcements have been made so only a couple of weeks away.
Hoping to see a nice change in cash on hand. The one surprise is what was paid for the shipment to Japan. Was this shipment of higher quality the Li Glass makers demand higher quality is that why it went to Japan
Below is where I see the report sitting. Q2/18 = cash cow.

Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7

1 Assumptions Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18

2 USD/AUD 0.75 0.75 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79

3 Li2O% 5.38 5.77 5.77 5.77 5.77 5.77

4 Li2O Price USD 542 724 860 860 900 1000

5 Royalties and Marketing 28.5 28.5 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0

6 Payment Per dmt 513.5 695.5 830.0 830.0 870.0 970.0

7 Cost Per Li2O dmt 389 393 334 324 320 314

8 Li2O dmt Per Month 7812 10045 14000 15000 16000 17000

9 Li2O Price = 2017 Li2O Price 2017 Li2O Price 2017 Li2O Price 2017 Li2O Price 2017/18 Li2O Price 2018 Li2O Price

10 Output Sold 23435 30135 42000 45000 48000 51000

11 Revenue USD $ 12,033,873 $ 20,958,893 $ 34,859,160 $ 37,349,100 $ 41,759,040 $ 49,468,980

12 Cost USD $ 9,116,215 $ 11,843,055 $ 14,028,000 $ 14,580,000 $ 15,360,000 $ 16,014,000

13 Cash Surplus USD $ 2,917,658 $ 9,115,838 $ 20,831,160 $ 22,769,100 $ 26,399,040 $ 33,454,980

14 Cash Surplus AUD $ 3,789,166 $ 11,838,750 $ 26,368,557 $ 28,821,646 $ 33,416,506 $ 42,348,076

15 Other Outgoings $ 11,400,000 $ 12,800,000 $ 18,000,000 $ 18,000,000 $ 40,000,000

16 Cash on hand change AUD $ 438,750.00 $ 13,568,556.96 $ 10,821,645.57 $ 15,416,506.33 $ 2,348,075.95

Expand

Well done, albeit rather conservative, which is probably for the best. Your figures for Q4 2017 are based on just 3 shipments. At the present shipping rate, there could be 4 ships getting away that quarter, taking more than 60Kt. How would that alter your figures?

GXY Price at posting: $2.95 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held

5 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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	Column 1	Column 2	Column 3	Column 4	Column 5	Column 6	Column 7
1	Assumptions	Q1/17	Q2/17	Q3/17	Q4/17	Q1/18	Q2/18
2	USD/AUD	0.75	0.75	0.79	0.79	0.79	0.79
3	Li2O%	5.38	5.77	5.77	5.77	5.77	5.77
4	Li2O Price USD	542	724	860	860	900	1000
5	Royalties and Marketing	28.5	28.5	30.0	30.0	30.0	30.0
6	Payment Per dmt	513.5	695.5	830.0	830.0	870.0	970.0
7	Cost Per Li2O dmt	389	393	334	324	320	314
8	Li2O dmt Per Month	7812	10045	14000	15000	16000	17000
9	Li2O Price =	2017 Li2O Price	2017 Li2O Price	2017 Li2O Price	2017 Li2O Price	2017/18 Li2O Price	2018 Li2O Price
10	Output Sold	23435	30135	42000	45000	48000	51000
11	Revenue USD	$ 12,033,873	$ 20,958,893	$ 34,859,160	$ 37,349,100	$ 41,759,040	$ 49,468,980
12	Cost USD	$ 9,116,215	$ 11,843,055	$ 14,028,000	$ 14,580,000	$ 15,360,000	$ 16,014,000
13	Cash Surplus USD	$ 2,917,658	$ 9,115,838	$ 20,831,160	$ 22,769,100	$ 26,399,040	$ 33,454,980
14	Cash Surplus AUD	$ 3,789,166	$ 11,838,750	$ 26,368,557	$ 28,821,646	$ 33,416,506	$ 42,348,076
15	Other Outgoings		$ 11,400,000	$ 12,800,000	$ 18,000,000	$ 18,000,000	$ 40,000,000
16	Cash on hand change AUD		$ 438,750.00	$ 13,568,556.96	$ 10,821,645.57	$ 15,416,506.33	$ 2,348,075.95

Well done, albeit rather conservative, which is probably for the...

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