A mistake on my part. Thanks for picking it up. Although I don't...

A mistake on my part. Thanks for picking it up.

Although I don't think it has much bearing on my analysis as the US still has a long way to go to get through their peak.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

There are another 57,000 deaths forecast in the US between now and the beginning of August. They are at just over 89,000 now.





Unfortunately the chart doesn't project out further. Would normally expect this peak to roll off.

So if you mirror the chart, that's approximately the rate at which deaths would roll off. If at a consistent curve then they would add another 57,000 deaths by mid October.

So numbers average out at about 22,800 per month for 5 months ( based on 57,000 to 1 August, another 57,000 between 1 August and mid October ).



The big concern though is second wave occurring as the US enters their fall and winter seasons. They are aggressively trying to open up their economy.