"Your analysis is flawed." 1. Deaths @ end of Week 44: 77,541 2....

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    "Your analysis is flawed."

    1. Deaths @ end of Week 44: 77,541
    2. 2020 Total Deaths Expected (according to @fdKen): 95,000

    => Deaths to occur in final 8 weeks = 95,000 -77,541 = 17,459

    3. Historical Average Deaths in Final 8 Weeks of the Year = 13,926

    => Required Ratio of Deaths in Final 8 Weeks of 2020 compared to History = 17,459 / 13,926 = 1.25.


    Please show were my analysis is flawed.

    .
 
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