An exercise held in 2018. Amazingly predictive given the current...

An exercise held in 2018. Amazingly predictive given the current circumstances

https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/publications/clade-x-a-pandemic-exercise

Clade X was a day-long pandemic tabletop exercise conducted by the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security on May 15, 2018, in Washington, DC.
Educational Themes Built into the Scenario

In the year-long process of developing the exercise, we identified a number of learning objectives that were derived from actual disease outbreaks in recent years. The following themes were built into the Clade X scenario:

• Some epidemics evolve very rapidly.
• A moderately contagious and moderately lethal respiratory virus can lead to a catastrophic pandemic.
• Rapid diagnostic tests are not available for novel pathogens.
• Public health capabilities for disease surveillance and response are weak in many countries.
• Quarantine and surveillance policies and practices are inconsistent across countries.
• It is often very difficult to determine the origin of an epidemic and attribute causality.
• It typically takes years to develop and produce new medical countermeasures (MCMs) against a novel pathogen.
• There is limited capacity for public health response to epidemics in the United States and globally.
• Public health quarantine laws and surveillance systems are inconsistent across states.
• Hospitals have limited stockpiles of essential supplies and medications and limited surge capacity, which hinders resiliency.
• Epidemics can have substantial economic and societal consequences.
• The same biotechnology revolution that enables rapid progress in countermeasures development lowers the bar to the development of, and deliberate or accidental release of, a novel pathogen