@MarsCI am largely in agreement with the points raised and the...

@MarsC

I am largely in agreement with the points raised and the high level thesis of the first paper.

There remain significant pockets of susceptibility to the virus (eg most of Australia outside of Victoria), but places that had a significant first wave (as measured by deaths) are by and large not having second waves as bad as the first. I also agree that there is very little evidence supporting generalized lockdowns.

That being said, translating this information into appropriate policy and political response is not straightforward at all.