Another way of summarising this is that Covid death risk is pushed back approximately an order of magnitude for the various factors...
Overall population risk = 0.5%
if under 50 = ~0.05%
& no comorbidities = ~0.005%
This is also the risk of death IF you get Covid.
What is the risk of contracting it in the first place?
Pretty hard to quantify I'd say, but maybe 1 in 10?
That pushes back the risk another order of magnitude,
= ~0.0005%
So Absolute Covid death risk for healthy u50's
= ~5 in 1,000,000.
Which is right in the ballpark of the last vaccine death rate I saw of 8 in 1,000,000.
But that being said, I'm not really concerned about dying from the vaccine - it's the adverse effects that I want to avoid. And they're rather more likely.
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