Covid - the Stats that Matter..., page-135

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    Another way of summarising this is that Covid death risk is pushed back approximately an order of magnitude for the various factors...

    Overall population risk = 0.5%
    if under 50 = ~0.05%
    & no comorbidities = ~0.005%

    This is also the risk of death IF you get Covid.
    What is the risk of contracting it in the first place?
    Pretty hard to quantify I'd say, but maybe 1 in 10?

    That pushes back the risk another order of magnitude,
    = ~0.0005%

    So Absolute Covid death risk for healthy u50's
    = ~5 in 1,000,000.
    Which is right in the ballpark of the last vaccine death rate I saw of 8 in 1,000,000.

    But that being said, I'm not really concerned about dying from the vaccine - it's the adverse effects that I want to avoid. And they're rather more likely.


    Last edited by DmitriMA: 03/10/21
 
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