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Bigmarn

7,219 Posts.

1414

16/03/20

17:29

Post #: 43522201
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Originally posted by EnderGame: ↑

llust @anatol, @kevin103
" expert of WHO says on that interview that flu kills up 650,000 people annually. We already have the Covid-19 for 3 months now. Where is that much death? "

The premise of your statement assumes that the two scenarios can be compared. Yes the flu kills approx 650,000 people. However we are experiencing unprecedented times where people are going through extreme quarantines, travel bans, social distancing. The best you can rely on is prediction models.

Current Italian stats from WHO: 1441/21157*100 = 6.8%
Spain: 136/5753 = 2.3%
Sth korea: 75/8162 = 0.9%
I won't even try and quote Chinese numbers - no one believes anything they say.

Just remember the Italians are about 20 days ahead France and Spain in infection.
I also showed South Korea to illustrate the variance and the country's effective control measures compared to the Italians.

I agree with you guys that it is too early to get reliable stats. Further, the testing procedures are not completely sound as we saw in the fiasco with Frump and the CDC.

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Geez there's some good buys out there atm! LIONTOWN being one of them! It is early days for covid19, that's the worry endgame!
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