crash of 2005 //////\\\\\\, page-11

  1. 1,889 Posts.
    "These sorts of aberations also happen with tatslotto numbers and many other random selections.

    You would expect that as the sample size increases, such aberations would eventually average out.
    "


    whilst lotto is random anyone who thinks the market is random needs to evealuate their thinking IMO . years ending in 5 are 200% better performers than mean average , this is more than random to me . in fact this last 50 years the worst performing 5 year was 10% . dont try and work out why this aberration occurs accept it and take anvantage of it . the truth of the matter is the dow has not made new highs for 5 years and during that time it retreated 40% from the all time high so as you can see the "crash" has been and gone . if you look at it from a world view the DOW is still way down based on value relevant to USD . have a look at the USDX and you will see it is down over 30% from recent highs . this in effect has taken 30% value of any US asset without the price moving in USD terms . nothing is as simple as black and white . use your mind and assess the facts ctritically .


    .................. bris with a wry smile
 
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