Price (18 Aug 08) 0.73 (A$)
Target price (12M) 1.50 (A$)
Market cap: 1,042 (A$mn)
Year avg. monthly trading value 143 (A$mn)
Last month�fs trading value 92 (A$mn)
Projected return:
Capital gain (%) 106.9%
Gross yield (%) 0.0%
Total return (%) 106.9%
Excess return** (%) 76.6%
52-week price range (A$) 0.56-1.24
* Stock ratings are relative to the relevant country index
Credit Suisse (19/08/2008): Commissioning smoothly, costs look reasonable
�¡ Event: PNA has released an Open Briefing transcript indicating that commissioning of Phu Kham is proceeding well.
�¡ View: Mill throughout is close to design rates of ~1mt per month. This is in line with our expectation of 3mt milled in the SepQ. Recoveries at 60% are on plan and in line to track up to 67% by year end. This is in line with our expectation of 62.5% Cu recoveries in the SepQ. Cost guidance was very encouraging, with total cash operating costs of US$12.5mn for August, below our expectation of US$40.2mn for the SepQ. Cash cost guidance is for cash costs around US$1/lb, in the middle of the second quartile globally according to the company. This is in line with our expectation of US$0.97/lb cash costs (pre-royalties) in 2009 and US$0.99/lb in 2010 at current gold
prices.
�¡ Outlook: Credit Suisse forecasts are currently well above spot gold and copper prices, which implies there is downside earnings risk for PNA.
�¡ Valuation: PNA is on 4.8x and 3.9x 2009 and 2010 earnings at spot commodity and currency. PNA is attractive at current prices the company is in production and generating strong cashflows, amid continuing
tight copper markets
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