CryptoNews of the Week
– This week, bitcoin rose above $65,000, returning to its trading position from 20 June. BTC's price recovery is driven by renewed capital inflow into spot bitcoin ETFs, which purchase cryptocurrency to back their shares. By the end of the trading session on 16 July, they had acquired 6,470 BTC worth approximately $422 million. Capital inflow into these funds has continued for eight consecutive trading days. According to CoinShares, from 8 to 14 July, a total of about $1.7 billion was invested in all cryptocurrency investment products, including US spot ETFs. Of this, $260 million was attributed to BlackRock's IBIT fund. Since the beginning of 2024, the funds have received $17.8 billion, already surpassing the entire inflow of 2021, which was the peak year for the previous bull market cycle.
– Bitcoin is a legitimate financial instrument for investment during times of heightened fear, according to BlackRock's CEO Larry Fink on CNBC. He stated that he "was a proud skeptic, but studied [bitcoin], learned about it," and now acknowledges that he was previously mistaken about the asset.
Fink highlighted that the first cryptocurrency offers an opportunity to invest in "something outside the control of any one country." "I'm not suggesting there are no abuses, as with everything else, but it's a legitimate financial instrument that allows you to have possibly uncorrelated, non-connected types of income," Fink added.
– Panic over payouts to creditors of the bankrupt crypto exchange Mt.Gox has subsided. While this may not have helped, it certainly did not hinder the rise in digital asset prices.
Approximately 65,000 BTC are expected to be distributed among Mt.Gox creditors soon, and all these coins could be put up for sale. However, Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, claims that fears about seller pressure are overrated and will not derail the ongoing bull rally.
CoinMetrics analysts also believe that the market should "absorb" Mt.Gox creditors liquidating their assets if the payouts are conducted orderly and spread over weeks, depending on current market depth and trading volumes. Even if creditors massively dispose of their returned assets, well-known analyst Alex Krüger estimates that the maximum bitcoin price drop will not exceed 10%.
– Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas reported that trading of the long-awaited spot ETH-ETFs in the US will commence on 23 July. "The SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) finally reached out to issuers asking for final [forms] S-1 to be returned on Wednesday [17 July], then requested activation [permission] for the launch on Tuesday, 23 July," the expert wrote. He added that this will happen if there are no "last-minute unforeseen issues." Sources in two potential Ethereum ETF issuers confirmed Balchunas' information.
– Peter Brandt, head of Factor LLC, gave a forecast for Ethereum ahead of the launch of spot ETH-ETF trading in the US. Previously, this legendary trader and analyst, who correctly predicted the 2018 crypto winter and many other market movements, repeatedly criticised ETH. Now, in his opinion, this altcoin is on the verge of significant growth. Brandt believes that Ethereum has found support near the lower edge of a rectangle that took over four months to form, and its next target will be levels above $5,600.
Trader Yoddha supported the positive forecast, noting that prolonged consolidation could give the leading altcoin the strength needed for active growth. According to his calculations, the cryptocurrency has prospects for moving above $10,000. The peak of Ethereum's growth, he believes, will be recorded in 2025. As for the current ATH (all-time high), it was recorded on 7 November 2021 at $4,856.
– Currently, Ripple (XRP), not Ethereum, has emerged as the growth leader among major altcoins, showing a weekly increase of about 35%. The catalyst for this surge was the announcement by traditional derivatives trading centres CME and CF Benchmarks of Indices and base rates for Ripple, which could promote institutional acceptance of this token.
– Analyst Benjamin Cowen is confident that bitcoin's dominance level (percentage of the total market value of all cryptocurrencies) is crucial for investors. He notes a significant trend: since late 2022, bitcoin's dominance has been steadily increasing. As of July 2024, it stands at 54.5%. Cowen believes that stricter government spending control in the US favours bitcoin over riskier altcoins. While the potential approval of ETH-ETF may provide Ethereum with short-term growth, bitcoin will continue to increase its share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalisation, possibly reaching 60% by December 2024.
– Wall Street Journal journalists reported that data on Donald Trump's election campaign funding indicates he has managed to attract donations from several significant figures in the crypto industry. They sent about $3 million to his campaign accounts. Among them were the creators of the Gemini trading platform, the Winklevoss twins, and Kraken exchange co-founder Jesse Powell.
Despite the relatively small amount, these cryptocurrency donations received extensive coverage in the US media. This strengthened voters' perception that Trump is friendly to the digital asset sector. Furthermore, in June, the politician promised that if he wins the upcoming presidential election, he will provide relief to miners. He positioned himself as someone ready to establish clear legislation for the industry and stop hindering the development of blockchain and cryptography technologies with repressive measures. This stance helped him gain many supporters among crypto enthusiasts who actively support the Republican leader's campaign.
– Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes called the actions of the Winklevoss twins and Jesse Powell a mistake. In his opinion, Trump's pro-cryptocurrency statements seem insincere. "Trump's position is a calculated move to gain support from the population that owns cryptocurrencies, not a genuine belief in the advantages of digital assets. Most likely, under different political circumstances, Trump would change his stance. His primary goal now is to secure votes, not to protect the crypto industry," Hayes explained. According to him, Trump, being a shrewd politician, will say whatever people want to hear to get their votes. However, there are no guarantees these promises will be fulfilled.
– Analysts at Bernstein positively assessed the "Trump factor" for bitcoin miners. They suggest that in the current conditions, the quotations of companies in this segment will shift to growth, and their shares should be bought. "The Goldilocks scenario for mining is becoming more realistic: more chances for favourable political changes, the US becoming a dominant centre for bitcoin and next-generation chip mining, and the industry gaining recognition as an energy interconnector and becoming a reliable partner for AI data centres," Bernstein experts predict.
– However, the noise from mining has caused health problems for Texas residents. This state hosts 10 of the 34 major bitcoin mining companies in the US. Some miners, such as Marathon Digital and Hut 8, relocated there in 2021 when China imposed restrictions on the industry. Other companies chose Texas due to relatively low electricity costs. Hut 8 called the state "one of the lowest in local wholesale electricity prices in North America."
However, it turns out that the influx of miners into Texas has negatively impacted the state's residents. Specifically, due to the high noise level of 91 decibels produced by bitcoin mining rigs, some patients have been diagnosed with hearing loss. The noise from miners is comparable to the sound of a lawnmower or chainsaw, and according to the Hearing Health Foundation, sounds exceeding 70 decibels lead to severe problems, especially with prolonged exposure. Other health issues reported by Texas residents include sleep disturbances, dizziness, tremors, and even fainting.
– The artificial intelligence (AI) ChatGPT-4o from OpenAI selected three digital assets to buy in 2024 for long-term investment. The AI considered key factors such as "price dynamics over time, technological innovations, market acceptance, and potential for future growth." Based on these criteria, ChatGPT formed a relatively conservative long-term portfolio, including bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), and Polkadot (DOT).
According to the AI, bitcoin is a worthy candidate due to its price dynamics, technological progress, relatively broad acceptance, and some regulatory recognition. As for Ethereum, it was chosen for its technological innovations, particularly its transition to proof of stake (PoS), ecosystem growth, and network effects arising from blockchain popularity. Polkadot's inclusion in the top three is of particular interest. ChatGPT considers it a valuable investment based on its network compatibility and scalability, as well as a strong development team and dedicated community. The AI model also highlights Polkadot's work on parachains as significantly useful technology.
Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.
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