CTP 5.77% 4.9¢ central petroleum limited

ctp presentation - future energy 2009

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    Hi all,

    I rang JH this morning, and John has kindly forwarded me the CTP's presentation that he did yesterday (PDF file).

    I just convert it to text file and followings are some of the extracts of his presentation. You'll need to go through the PDF file to have all its valuable contents (diagrams, etc..).


    Central petroleum LIMITED

    FUTURE ENERGY 2009

    World energy demand
    ---------------------
    Australia’s liquid petroleum self sufficiency
    (estimated) :
    •2000 c.100%
    •2009 c.55%
    •2017 c.32%

    Trade balance in petroleum and petroleum products
    -------------------------------------------------
    •2000 +$0.9 billion
    •2009 -$13.2 billion
    •2017 -$28 billion

    (Source : APPEA 2009 Darwin CEO Address)



    • Started in 1998 with US$12/bbl oil prices
    • Listed early 2006, current capitalisation c.$58 million 10 cps (270809)
    • 570 million shares, 129 million CTPOA options trading 6 cpo, 95 million CTPO
    options trading 3 cpo (270809)
    • $35 million banked funds
    • Rolling Convertible Bond to $73 million available
    • Significant JV partners BG Group (QGC/PXA), Trident,He Nuclear, (EIR/GSG)
    • Experienced Board and Management : Dr Henry Askin Chair, John Heugh MD,
    Bill Dunmore & Richard Faull non-exec
    • Planned 2009 exploration programme commencing Oct 2009


    EMERGED FROM GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS IN VERY SOUND SHAPE

    Central Corporate

    Significant potential, proven prospectivity
    ------------------------------------------------
    •Central operates over 250,000 km2
    •Proven prospectivity- ground surrounds 2 producing fields Mereenie, Palm Valley (Santos/Magellan JV)
    •Billion barrel oil, multi TCF gas and multi BCF Helium* conceptual potential
    •Trillion tonne coal UCG/CSG potential ( Maynard 2009)
    •> 10,000 TCFG prospective syngas resources from UCG applications ( Mulready 2009)
    •1.25 trillion GTL middle distillate (diesel) prospective resources from UCG syngas ( Mulready 2009)
    •Dominant position in 4 whole basins
    •Conventional and Non-conventional plays
    •Underexplored-well density 1/5,000 km2
    •Helium* c. $100/mcfg versus natural gas Australia c.$3-5/mcfg


    Development Path
    ----------------
    • Oil discovery and development for early cash flow
    • Development of gas and Helium resources in conventional
    reservoirs
    • Development of CBM Pedirka and and non conventional
    reservoirs Amadeus & Georgina
    • Examination of UCG applications outside of the current JVs
    • Planned development of large scale GTL/GTF plant(s) to add value to gas discoveries
    • Existing infrastructure linking resources to export or domestic markets via Darwin-Domgas and LNG options


    Central value adding petroleum hub (re PDF's diagram)

    Prospective resources/UOIIP- UGIIP
    ----------------------------------
    •35 TCFG or 6 Bn BOE upside “yet to find” Amadeus Basin conventional targets-NTGS 2005

    •Johnstone, Ooraminna, Magee, Mt Kitty 300 MMbbls UOIIP, 5.5 TCFG gas, 0.2 TCFG Helium UGIIP (200 others to date)

    •34-70 TCFG (BM Prospective Resources in Central’s Pedirka Basin-2007

    •Prospective resources UCG Pedirka Basin-> 10,000 TCFG (syngas from UCG) based on Exploration Target c. >1 Trillion tonnes < 1,000m

    •Horn Valley Siltstone-Amadeus, fractured shale gas play: 12-90 TCFG UGIIP-10,000 km2 2008

    •Horn Valley Siltstone-Amadeus, fractured shale oil play : up to 10 Bn bbls UOIIP 2008

    •Southern Georgina 50 TCFG, 650 MMbbls UGIIP, UOIIP in Bakken/Baxter analogues plus conventional upside

    •Pedirka Basin -eg recent Devonian carbonate play upside UOIIP 5 Bn bbls

    •Large number oil prospects and leads unquantified to date, not covered by seismic

    •Additional upside Lander Trough

    •Gas delivered to Alice Springs, estimated cost to Company A$1.65-2.50/GJ all up factory gate price

    •Oil delivered to Port Darwin estimated cost to Company A$25-30/bbl all up (road or rail bulk liquids)


    Central’s interests and 2008 results (re. PDF's diagram)


    Robust 2009 Programme Proposal
    -------------------------------
    Planned commencement Oct 2009


    Phase One 2009
    ---------------
    5 fully cored CSG wells- (Pedirka Basin)

    flow testing CBM93001

    GoreTM survey Johnstone

    Ooraminna-2 gas, 2 TCFG UGIIP- already flowed gas

    1,350 line km (Amadeus and Pedirka)

    Subtotal $25 million, CTP $16 million


    Phase Two 2010
    ---------------
    3- 8 conventional wells (Amadeus Basin) :

    Johnstone-1 oil up to 998 MMbbls MMbbls UOIIP Ordovician (Mereenie style) and other horizons

    Magee-2 gas, condensate, Helium 0.8 TCFG, 15 BCFG Helium UGIIP-already flowed gas subsalt

    Waterhouse-3 gas, 2.0 TCFG UGIIP

    Mt Kitty-1 gas, condensate, Helium 3 TCFG, 180 BCFG Helium UGIIP- 430 km2 subsalt

    Subtotal $16-40 million, CTP $8-18 million

    This conditional programme proposal is solely Central’s in-house proposal and has not been presented to or discussed with current Joint Venture partners. It is subject to appropriate farmin
    partners, capital, contingencies and approval or modification at OPCOM meetings yet to be held.


    Coal-CSG-UCG-GTL
    -----------------

    Petroleum & Mineral Tenements* (re. PDF contents file)

    CSG Potential Recoverable Resources-Petroleum Tenements: Low 34 TCFG , High 70 TCFG

    UCG Prospective Recoverable Resources potential : > 10,000 TCFG

    GTL Potential from UCG : > 1 trillion barrels



    Deal Agenda
    -------------
    • JV partners PXA, Trident,HEN : 40-60% of costs covered, 2:1 promote on
    initial farmin works

    • EPA 130 EIR/GSG deal terms sheet signed CTP free carried initial farmin works,
    3 wells, $3 million seismic, 2.4:1 promote, ongoing $10 million/TCFG 3P reserve
    premium

    Central will consider :
    - additional risk sharing joint venture partner(s) via farmouts for E and P

    - strategic investment into Central with farmin partner to stabilise share register

    - joint ventures with holders of appropriate GTL/GTF/UCG technology



    Back to my work, now...
    Cheers - BS
 
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