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Hi CM yes certainly enjoy a TA chat,never stop learning with so...

  1. 25,374 Posts.
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    Hi CM
    yes certainly enjoy a TA chat,never stop learning with so many smart folks sharing on this forum and newer TA traders evolving ideas due to such a competitive market,with outcomes of a lot of our traditional chart patterns diminishing/diluting.
    Suppose we need to look at why you are keen to see a Cup and Handle set up...I was of the impression that there was a potential target of an outbreak equivalent to 100% of the cup base to top repeating. thats ideal but its no longer likely,
    If you look at Bulkowski's statistical analysis of the pattern, the outcome has now diminished to 50% of the cup height..

    Bulkowski's Pattern Site Link
    There are Cup and Handle prerequisites such as a rising trend starting point as detailed on that link, It doesnt mean that ESI isnt in an interesting technical pattern, I look at it more as an alert of a potential double top which already failed and retraced some 30%
    It is now back in an accumulation phase which will form a pennant or flag pattern as shown on the attached chart which has a projected breakout target arrowed..
    I think Bulkowski is a great read for other ideas and reviews of our often outdated TA knowledge..

    a bit disjointed but hope this reads OK
    cheers

 
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