He seemed fairly sound until he got to:
"He also mentioned to Lynas’ production process.
Lynas mines a three-year supply of ores at the rare earth mine in Australia (Mt. Weld) and stocks them by element (770,000 tons)."
None of that sentence makes any sense at all. Perhaps a translation issue?
"Lynas’ ores contain cerium most by 47%, lanthanum by 23.9% and praseodymium by 23.0%."
NdPr totals 23.8% (or 20.8%, depending on which announcements you read), not Pr 23%.
"Concentrates from Fremantle, Australia are separated and refined at LAMP in Malaysia and processed into products in sulfatizing roasting process.
The production in the 2nd quarter was 2,606 tons and the year to date 12 months production was 8,799 tons.
The production target of 15,000 tons will be achieved soon."
Soon? How soon will they increase production by 50%? "jus' like that" or in 12 months?
"Mr. Sato’s answer to a question from a participant about “the difference between Lynas and Molycorp” completely explained the strength and the superiority of Lynas.
“Lynas’ strength is to secure sales channels of cerium and lanthanum with the largest production volume by long term contracts. As to cerium, we have long term contract with Solvay. Also, as to production technology, we use an old-style and some kind of traditional technique to lower costs.”"
If their strength is in securing sales channels for cerium at $1.5/kg and La at ~ $1.9/kg when the costs are between $15 and $25/kg, what would a weakness look like? And if they are selling these products strongly, what are the 2,000 tonnes of finished REE in stock at 30th June 2015 made up of?
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$9.67 |
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Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$9.50 | $9.96 | $9.38 | $153.8M | 15.88M |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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2 | 914 | $9.67 |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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$9.68 | 12000 | 2 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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2 | 914 | 9.670 |
1 | 4942 | 9.630 |
2 | 4000 | 9.610 |
1 | 5000 | 9.580 |
1 | 524 | 9.530 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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9.680 | 12000 | 2 |
9.690 | 5598 | 2 |
9.700 | 1500 | 1 |
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9.750 | 4857 | 5 |
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