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What is the context of your question? It is fairly clear from...

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    What is the context of your question? It is fairly clear from the chart that long periods of strong performance of the S&P500 are generally accompanied by increasing amounts of negative credit balance. The flipside is that when a significant market correction occurs, these negative balances are very quickly reversed and often become positive (after the tech bubble, the GFC and the COVID crisis (although didn't reach positive in this one)). It could certainly be argued that the unwind of these margin positions exacerbates the correction/crash already occurring in the stock market. Whilst the chart could lead one to think that another significant correction is just around the corner it also worth noting that the Fed would be acutely aware of this data as it pertains to policy settings. Many believe that the Fed has been one of the key drivers of the incredible appreciation of the US stock market since early 2009. That may well be so, but it would also be reasonably self evident that the Fed is not a big proponent of market crashes. As such, while ever it is within their control, you would expect the Fed will do what it can to keep the good times rolling (or to put it in other words: don't fight the Fed).
 
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