Day trading pre-market open August 31

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    Morning traders. Thanks loungers, especially @Ravgnome and @Patterns.



    Outlook for the day: Likely to open little changed following three days of strong gains and a fourth straight advance overnight in the US. The ASX 200 had its best day in six weeks yesterday.


    ASX futures: up four points or 0.06%



    Overnight themes:

    • US stocks rise for a fourth session as investors welcome soft economic data as a reason to leave interest rates on hold.
    • Both GDP and private-payrolls data fall short of expectations, but not by enough to raise fears of a hard landing for the economy.
    • Growth in the US economy during the second quarter is revised downwards to 2.1% from an initial estimate of 2.4%.
    • Monthly private payrolls show a smaller-than-expected increase of 177,000 this month, versus Wall Street expectations for a gain of around 200,000.
    • The odds on a rates pause next month rise to 89% from 86%, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. The likelihood of a November pause rises to 54% from 52%.
    • "The downgrade to second-quarter GDP growth will be welcomed by Fed officials and reinforces our expectations for a policy pause in September... Data point to steady economic momentum into the second half of the year and confirm that a recession isn't on the near-term horizon" - Lydia Boussour, senior economist at EY-Parthenon.
    • Tech leads the rally as treasury yields fall to three-week lows. Energy, industrials and communication services are next strongest. Health and utilities finish lower.
    • A third straight weekly decline in US crude inventories helps oil settle at its highest in more than two weeks. Traders keep an eye on a hurricane menacing operations along the Gulf Coast.


    Key events today:

    • Private capital expenditure, private sector credit - 11.30 am AEST
    • China manufacturing PMI - 11.30 am
    • US inflation report (personal consumption expenditures) - tonight


    S&P 500
    : up 17 points or 0.38%


    Dow: up 38 points or 0.11%


    Nasdaq: up 76 points or 0.54%


    Dollar: up 0.06% to 64.8 US cents


    Iron ore (Dalian): up 1.97% to US$113.68


    Brent crude: up 37 US cents or 0.4% to US$85.86


    Gold: up US$7.90 or 0.4% to US$1,973


    NYSE Arca Gold Bugs: up 0.06%


    Copper (LME): up 0.29% to US$8,473.10


    Nickel (LME): down 0.24% to US$20,635


    Lithium carbonate (China spot): down 1.86% to US$29,311


    Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF: down 0.64%


    BHP: up 0.8% (US); up 0.73% (UK)


    Rio Tinto: up 0.67% (US); up 0.58% (UK)

    Last edited by highlandlad: 31/08/23
 
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