Morning traders. Thanks loungers, especially @Ravgnome and @Patterns.
Outlook for the day: Positive as records for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq help offset a chunky fall in iron ore and declines in several other commodities.
ASX futures: up 17 points or 0.22%
Overnight themes:
- Two of Wall Street's three major benchmarks closed at new highs at the start of a week featuring inflation data, the launch of a new reporting season and testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
- The Nasdaq put on 0.3% as tech stocks outperformed. A 1.88% rise in Nvidia helped lift an index of semiconductor manufacturers 1.93%.
- The S&P 500 overcame a mid-session fade to advance 0.1%.
- The Dow wallowed just below break-even, finishing 0.08% in the red as gains in Intel, Apple and Home Deport were outweighed by declines in Nike, Salesforce and Visa.
- The week ahead brings Congressional appearances tonight and tomorrow night from Fed Chair Powell, inflation data on Thursday (CPI) and Friday (PPI) and the first major corporate earnings updates of a new season on Friday.
- The odds on a September rate cut climbed above 75% last week after jobs data pointed to a slowing labour market. However, some analysts fear the Fed may wait too long to start cutting rates, pushing the economy into recession.
- "What investors want to hear [from Powell] is a dovish tone and an acknowledgement that the two-sided risks are more evenly balanced today, in particular, with respect to the labor market" - Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird (per Reuters).
- Tech and materials were the night's best performing sectors, gaining 0.72% and 0.28%, respectively. The only other gains were real estate +0.17%, industrials +0.13% and utilities +0.07%. Drags included energy -0.59% and financials -0.15%.
- Iron ore slumped 3.3% in China, reversing much of last week's gain as inventories continued to increase at Chinese ports. Portside inventories have risen 25% since the start of the year, according to Mysteel data.
- Oil slid to its lowest in more than a week as a hurricane weakened in the Gulf of Mexico, reducing the threat to infrastructure, and after Hamas dropped a key condition for a ceasefire with Israel. Hurricane Beryl was downgraded to a tropical storm after making landfall in Texas yesterday. Brent crude eased 79 US cents or 0.9% to US$85.75 a barrel.
- Precious metals pulled back from their highest levels since May as the US dollar rallied for the first time in five sessions. Gold dropped US$34.20 or 1.43% to US$2,363.50 an ounce. Silver was lately down 46 US cents or 1.47% at US$30.76.
Key events today:
- July consumer sentiment - 10.30 am AEST
- June business confidence - 11.30 am
- Congressional appearances by US Federal Reserve Chair Powell and Treasury Secretary Yellen - tonight
S&P 500: up 6 points or 0.1%
Dow: down 31 points or 0.08%
Nasdaq: up 51 points or 0.28%
Dollar: down 0.1% to 67.37 US cents
Iron ore (Dalian): down 3.3% to US$113.56
Brent crude: down 79 US cents or 0.9% to US$85.75
Natural gas (US futures): up 1.76% to US$2.37
Gold: down US$34.20 or 1.43% to US$2,363.50
Silver: down 46 US cents or 1.47% to US$30.76
NYSE Arca Gold Bugs: down 0.01%
Bitcoin: down 0.15% to US$56,370
Copper (LME): down 0.47% to US$9,897
Nickel (LME): up 0.43% to US$17,405
Uranium (spot price): steady at US$86.50
Lithium carbonate (China spot): down 0.15% to US$12,414
Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF: down 0.12%
BHP: down 1.92% (US); down 2.15% (UK)
Rio Tinto: down 0.69% (US); down 1.01% (UK)
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