Morning traders. Thanks loungers, especially @Ravgnome and @Patterns.
Outlook for the day: Negative ahead of consumer price data that is expected to add to worries about "sticky" inflation.
ASX futures: down 24 points or 0.34%
Overnight themes:
- US stocks sink as investors grapple with the threat of higher rates, surging bond yields, a looming government shutdown and weak economic data.
- The Dow suffers its biggest fall since March, losing 1.14% and closing below its 200-day moving average. The S&P 500 drops to a three-month low. The Nasdaq extends its loss for the month towards 7%.
- "We continue to adjust to the higher interest rates. What you are getting is increasingly a sense that the market is overvalued" - Brad McMillan, CIO at Commonwealth Financial Network.
- Wall Street's "fear gauge", the VIX or CBOE volatility index, rises to its highest since May.
- Treasury yields hold near 16-year highs after Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, says interest rates may need to go higher to cool inflation.
- House Republican leaders say President Joe Biden will have to tighten border restrictions to avert a federal government shutdown from Sunday. The White House has previously rejected similar proposals.
- Housing and consumer confidence reports sharpen concerns about the economy. House sales decline 8.7% in August, three times as much as economists expected. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index drops from 108.7 last month to 103, also below expectations.
- All 11 sectors decline, led by utilities (-3.05%), consumer discretionary (-2.03%) and tech (-1.78%). Energy fares least worst with a fall of 0.5% as Saudi-Russia production cuts provide a floor for crude oil.
- Iron ore falls below Monday's two-week low ahead of China's Golden Week holiday and as troubles in the Chinese property sector muddy the demand outlook.
- A 10-month high in the US dollar adds to pressure on metals. Spot gold trades briefly below US$1,900 an ounce. Copper falls to its lowest since May.
- “Strength in the U.S. dollar, weak risk appetite coupled with concerns over China’s property sector amidst a challenging global growth backdrop are weighing on the base metals complex” - Standard Chartered analyst Sudakshina Unnikrishnan.
Key events today:
- August consumer price index - 11.30 am AEST (expected: uptick in y.o.y. CPI from 4.9% to 5.2%)
- US durable goods - tonight
S&P 500: down 64 points or 1.47%
Dow: down 388 points or 1.14%
Nasdaq: down 208 points or 1.57%
Dollar: down 0.29% to 64.03 US cents
Iron ore (Dalian): down 1.64% to US$115.04
Brent crude: up 67 US cents or 0.7% to US$93.96
Gold: down US$16.80 or 0.9% to US$1,919.80
NYSE Arca Gold Bugs: down 2.97%
Copper (LME): down 0.48% to US$8,106.50
Nickel (LME): down 1.36% to US$18,890
Lithium carbonate (China spot): % to US$
Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF: down 1.83% (34-month low)
BHP: down 2% (US); down 0.78% (UK)
Rio Tinto: down 1.68% (US); down 0.61% (UK)
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