AEZ apn european retail property group

Based on my DCF valuation, the bear case scenario would be 13...

  1. 19 Posts.
    Based on my DCF valuation, the bear case scenario would be 13 cents, while a more optimistic scenario would be 23 cents.

    The key assumptions I used for the bear case is -20% reduction in revenue next year and 3% growth in perpetually. In the optimistic scenario, I assumed -10% reduction in revenue next year and 3.25% growth in perpetually. Both cases assumed Weight Average cost of Capital(WACC) of between 8.01% ~ 9.69%.

    Currently, the stock is trading at 7.4 cents- approximately 90% upside if you can buy it at current price.

    Another conservative approach is dividend model, the expected dividend yield would be 27.5% next year if you bought the stock at 8 cents average price.





 
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