LYC 2.68% $6.51 lynas rare earths limited

Deciphering Lynas, page-394

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    Decent chance for current Q to beat the previous one on revenue basis. Data Feb inclusive - in my data we average 40% of our quarterly revenue in the 3rd month. Jan-Feb revenue is sitting at Au$148m.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5158/5158054-04012b24d3e1c048bf50bb0e1194079f.jpg


    Important note in regards to weakness in NdPr (largely driven by speculators post Elon's comments): we should not forget we have the benefit of economies of scale. I'm suspecting we are near NEXT rate production for the quarter:

    Graph illustrating rough half-year NdPr production rate (left, in t) and cost of production (here 'cop', in AUD). All calculated from real data. Current (China) NdPr price is ~AUD103.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5158/5158044-dfcfecc840d9268c5d970bdf8d438394.jpg

 
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