GOLD 0.51% $1,391.7 gold futures

deflationary or inflationary, page-6

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    Excerpt on Stagflation from Wikipedia

    "Economists offer two principal explanations for why stagflation occurs. First, stagflation can result when an economy is slowed by an unfavorable supply shock, such as an increase in the price of oil in an oil importing country, which tends to raise prices at the same time that it slows the economy by making production less profitable This type of stagflation presents a policy dilemma because most actions to assist with fighting inflation worsen economic stagnation and vice versa. Second, both stagnation and inflation can result from inappropriate macroeconomic policies. For example, central banks can cause inflation by permitting excessive growth of the money supply, and the government can cause stagnation by excessive regulation of goods markets and labor markets; together, these factors can cause stagflation. Both types of explanations are offered in analyses of the global stagflation of the 1970s: it began with a huge rise in oil prices, but then continued as central banks used excessively stimulative monetary policy to counteract the resulting recession, causing a runaway wage-price spiral."

    I think that the US has been in recession for some time and that is why they want to reduce interest rates, however printing money is surely inflationary.

    The other somewhat scary possibility, given the unprecedented events that have occurred recently, is that we don't yet have a word to describe whats coming up!



 
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