Don't believe the polls — Trump is winning
BY JONATHAN JAKUBOWSKI AND CHRISTOS A. MAKRIDIS, OPINION CONTRIBUTORS — 10/27/20 01:30 PM EDTWe predict that President Trump is going to win the 2020 presidential election — and win big.While the majority of the polls suggest that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is leading, or at best that it’s close, those polls suffer from at least three problems.
First, the tone of the questions. There is significant evidence from behavioral psychology that suggests that the way a question is framed predetermines the range of potential answers. In fact, Gallup has found that respondents can answer very differently to questions with the same topic even in the same survey based on the language that’s used. And the use of metaphors can even dwarf the importance of preexisting differences between Republicans and Democrats.
https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/522957-dont-believe-the-polls-trump-is-winning-bigly
