you might be interested in reading this assessment which is based on US data
https://www.cam.ac.uk/research/news/economic-damage-could-be-worse-without-lockdown-and-social-distancing-study
The worst thing for the economy would be not acting at all to prevent disease spread, followed by too short a lockdown, according to research based on US data.Taking no action is unacceptable from public health perspective, and extremely risky from an economic perspective
there is much debate over the economic costs of our lockdown lives: whether the mitigation of disease spread is worth the deepening financial crisis.
New research from the University of Cambridge suggests that there is no absolute trade-off between the economy and human health – and that the price of inaction could be twice as high as that of a 'structured lockdown'.
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Destroying Victoria's Economy, page-44
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