NXS 4.44% 23.5¢ next science limited

deutsche bank price tgt 50c hold, page-7

  1. Ya
    6,809 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 3828
    I am assuming they r factoring in the upcoming 35% farmout in that valuation.

    Here's how I see it.

    Base SP: 25c (pre-Cottee news & AGM etc)

    NXS's 85% equity for a mid-case valuation of crux: $913mil
    (refer ASX release dt 23rd Sept).

    Value of 35% farmout = A$319.55 mil.

    Shares on issue: 1326.821mil

    So post farmout, impact on SP:
    ($913mil * 35%)/ 1326.821mil = 24cps

    Total: 25+24 = 49cents


    Expenditure incurred by NXS as per Annual Report $311.59m, plus bonus points for securring FID.

    Should b interesting how much they can squeeze out of a 'substantial Chinese entity as a JV partner' as referred by Fowler in his AGM ASX release (dt 17Nov11).

    Sounds like accumulation is on, by those with deeper pockets.
 
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