Did BHP just announce ~14to20% div increase next year?????

  1. 3,927 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 586
    Did BHP just announce ~14to20% div increase next year??????
    some extracts from announcements plus my interpretations&projections - for comment please
    Re the split: "BHPB shareholders would receive an-specie distribution of shares in (NewCo) on a pro-rata basis, as well as retaining their existing shares in BHPB"
    - so you keep your BHPB and get NewCo shares worth roughly (haven't done detail analysis) 15% of oldBHP value.
    1. "BHPB will seek to steadily increase or at least maintain the dividend per share in US dollar terms at each half yearly payment following the merger, implying a higher payout ratio."
    So for newBHPB,
    you get 100% of current div (for only the rough 85% of oldBHPB value remaining in newBHPB)
    plus probably 4% more (as they always say "increase or at least maintain" and always increase it a bit)
    2. "NewCo is expected to have a strong balance sheet with minimal net debt …(and)…have the flexibility to consider a dividend policy that reflects its cash generating capacity."
    So for newCo,
    you get about 10% more div (assuming initial newCo div is at only 2/3 of oldBHPB rate, i.e. 2/3x15%of oldBHP value).
    So that is total divs next year of 114% of current div.
    Without adding in anything special, or higher div growth for newBHPB, or capital management.
    Seems like they are giving us a very positive message ( a little obliquely) that dividends are going to grow strongly.
    What do you think?
 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.
(20min delay)
Last
$39.87
Change
-0.030(0.08%)
Mkt cap ! $202.3B
Open High Low Value Volume
$39.98 $40.03 $39.68 $215.2M 5.398M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 1256 $39.79
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$39.87 1225 5
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 07/08/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
BHP (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.