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My gut feel is not an accurate barometer for anything useful and...

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23/02/18

22:25

Post #: 31305613
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Originally posted by Sandash ↑

I do actually have quite a good understanding of mathematical probability.

I was thinking along the lines of "gut feel" probability, like when you look up at the clouds when stepping outside for a walk and think, "Hmmm ... there's a reasonable probability of rain so I'd better take my umbrella", or, "Hmmm ... there's a high probability of rain so I might give the walk a miss today".

Anyway, we're obviously on very different wavelengths, so just forget it.

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My gut feel is not an accurate barometer for anything useful and like the clouds will change pretty frequently so really worthless.

Anyway for what it's worth - very little I'm afraid - my gut feel is that the start of life is highly unlikely; but it only had to happen once, and it did indeed appear to happen at least once.
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