Fair enough.
Given the lack of progress with explaining abiogenesis, or discovering any evidence of extra-terrestrial life, my gut feel is also that it was highly unlikely. Not impossible, just a very low probability. But that could change if evidence of microbes is found on eg. Mars. So far, none has and I doubt it will be.
The situation would also change if intelligent radio transmissions from outer space were detected and confirmed. So far, none have been.
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