AGS 0.00% 17.5¢ alliance resources limited

Hey fellow sheiks, just got this from Disallowed quarterly:Dear...

  1. 291 Posts.
    Hey fellow sheiks, just got this from 10bagger quarterly:

    Dear subscriber,

    Ten Bagger Quarterly's Recommended Portfolio is now up 17.5% over the past month, compared to a 4.3% rise in the benchmark Australian All Ordinaries Index. Over the first four months of 2007, the Portfolio has put on a stellar 51.8%, against a 14.0% rise in the All Ordinaries.

    Target price upgrade for Alliance Resources

    In view of recent drilling results, we have upgraded our valuation of Alliance Resources from $3.00 to between $4.11 and $7.97 per share, based on two valuation methods:

    1. DCF basis

    On a discounted cash flow (DCF) basis we calculate a value of $4.11 per share, comprising:

    (i) $3.71 for Alliance's 25% share of the Beverley 4-Mile discovery.
    (ii) $0.15 for Maldon Gold.
    (iii) $0.25 for exploration potential.

    2. Forward P/E basis

    On a Forward P/E basis we value Alliance at $7.97 per share. This valuation is based on a multiple of 10x forecast 2011 Net Profit After Tax ($1.63 billion for the Beverley 4-Mile uranium project, of which $401m would be attributable to Alliance), discounted back to today's dollars at the Cost of Capital.

    Full workings of our valuation are available for subscribers to download at www.tenbaggerquarterly.com/downloads.html

    The $4.11 DCF valuation reflects the underlying value of Alliance Resources and forms our new price target. The Forward P/E valuation of $7.97 per share is useful in giving an idea of the potential "blue sky".

    Summary

    Alliance Resources remains a strong long term HOLD.

    Regards,

    the team at Ten Bagger Quarterly

 
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