FWIW my rough rule of thumb for multiples for base metals is ~6x EBITDA OR 10% FCF yield (10x FCF). MLX (post expansion capex) will have high conversion of EBITDA to FCF given the tax loss position. I personally think LT tin price is A$40k/t (US$30k/t) and therefore you could be looking at a number much higher than 50c.
Note - there’s many dangers using a lazy multiple method on a mineral asset with finite resources/reserves. For example - it would make zero sense to multiply EBITDA by 6x on a resource that only has a 3 year mine life remaining (for example). Much dangers in this method.
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---|---|---|
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9 | 220608 | 0.395 |
11 | 110921 | 0.390 |
5 | 41206 | 0.385 |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.405 | 53004 | 12 |
0.410 | 464047 | 18 |
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