ECH 2.63% 39.0¢ echelon resources limited

dividend bets, page-15

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    While I accept the various arguments that have been put forward why NZOG would possibly lean towards a 5 cents per share dividend, I would like to think that it couls see itself as being a little more generous.

    NZOG has about 388 million shares.
    At a NZ$ 5 cent dividend it is going to cost about NZ$19,300,000.

    At a NZ$ 7.5 cent divident it is going to cost NZ$28,980,000

    So if its actual profit was between NZ$50 m to $70 m then 7.5 cents is not too big a slice of the profit (let alone the cash on hand.)

    Mind you Forsyth Barr has indicated that it is picking a Reported profit of NZ$51 million but a "normalised" profit of NZ$28 million.

    Hmmmmmm. So perhaps more reason to stick with 5 cents per share.
    However i will go with "generous" and hold out for 7.5 cents at this stage (though perhaps not confidently)
 
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