re: do not disturb - i'm gobbling my hat!! If the market, rightly or wrongly, has decided to substantially downgrade the value of HDR's Mauritanian oil interests, then HDR will need to find a lot of oil in Uganda to compensate and return to $2.50+.
The oil will also need to be commercial.
I also suspect some in the market link Uganda with Idi Amin, or entertain the possibility of a 21st. century Idi Amin taking power in Uganda.
That being the case HDR's Ugandan assets will carry a heavy political risk discount.
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do not disturb - i'm eating my hat!!, page-5
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