I can summary my bets in a single equation:
Market Cap = SAM (US$ 2.7bn) x Market Share (?) x Probability of Success (?) x P/S (~5)
Market Share is debatable... in absence of competition, should it be close to 100%?
Probability of Success is weighted by the market everyday - obviously things like FDA approval expected in May and/or increase in sales growth will indicate lower risk of failure i.e. higher probability of success
With the current market cap of ~0.5bn, market is pricing very low market share and low probability of success, any positive change to sentiments may lead to multiple from where we are now...
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I can summary my bets in a single equation:Market Cap = SAM (US$...
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$2.42 |
Change
0.010(0.41%) |
Mkt cap ! $160.4M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$2.42 | $2.45 | $2.41 | $562.3K | 231.8K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 82002 | $2.42 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$2.43 | 16 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 82002 | 2.420 |
2 | 6000 | 2.410 |
12 | 28130 | 2.400 |
2 | 12278 | 2.390 |
11 | 55594 | 2.380 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
2.440 | 384 | 1 |
2.480 | 467 | 2 |
2.500 | 1381 | 1 |
2.520 | 325 | 1 |
2.530 | 471 | 1 |
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