I can summary my bets in a single equation:
Market Cap = SAM (US$ 2.7bn) x Market Share (?) x Probability of Success (?) x P/S (~5)
Market Share is debatable... in absence of competition, should it be close to 100%?
Probability of Success is weighted by the market everyday - obviously things like FDA approval expected in May and/or increase in sales growth will indicate lower risk of failure i.e. higher probability of success
With the current market cap of ~0.5bn, market is pricing very low market share and low probability of success, any positive change to sentiments may lead to multiple from where we are now...
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I can summary my bets in a single equation:Market Cap = SAM (US$...
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$2.47 |
Change
0.010(0.41%) |
Mkt cap ! $163.8M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$2.48 | $2.52 | $2.43 | $917.0K | 370.1K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 1434 | $2.47 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$2.48 | 1500 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 1434 | 2.470 |
2 | 15000 | 2.460 |
2 | 10416 | 2.450 |
2 | 6250 | 2.440 |
5 | 22318 | 2.430 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
2.480 | 1500 | 1 |
2.490 | 3000 | 2 |
2.500 | 1686 | 1 |
2.520 | 3325 | 3 |
2.530 | 5471 | 3 |
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