DML 0.00% 1.9¢ discovery metals limited

down down prices is down, page-29

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    Discovery Metals (ASX:DML) – Chinese sell 2.5% of their 16.2% stake in Discovery
    • Discovery Metals’ shares have fallen again due to the sale of stock by the Chinese following the effective withdrawal of their offer for the company.
    • The shares have pulled back sharply since the offer and are now significantly lower than levels reached pre the Chinese bid.
    • Stock sales by funds interested in arbitrage of the offer and by the Chinese have depressed prices to levels not seen since July 2010 eg before the financing of A$151m for the mine in November/December 2010 and the Chinese bid.
    • Shareholders may be concerned that the Chinese are also looking to offload their remaining 13.72% stake in the company.
    • The Chinese bidders were not allowed full access to the company’s information on the mine, plant and ore bodies due to the hostile approach taken.
    • The bid was seen by management and the market as opportunistically timed and as an unwelcome distraction during the commissioning process.
    • Management plan to expand the scale and production of the mine and plant in short order. This should add new value to the operations and could attract a higher and more appropriately timed bid in good time.
    • In the meantime the mine has suffered a couple of minor events which have served to delay the ramp up and reduce initial production through heavy rainfall and a small pit wall event.
    • Discovery have published their half year numbers to end December today
    • The company have A$48m in cash giving a good cushion against further commissioning issues should they arise.
    Conclusion: Discovery’s shares appear to have been marked down in the market as the Chinese and M&A focussed hedge funds exit the stock. While the shares could fall further we feel they represent good longer term value for investors.
 
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