WHC

0.69%

$8.61 whitehaven coal limited

Also did some anal-ysisthoughts?

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ShmoShady

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06/09/23

09:13

Post #: 69747743
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Originally posted by Nez: ↑

Okay cool. Definitely not up ramping here just giving an example why it may not fall out of bed, though I could be very wrong and your macro speculation rodgering may be very right.
WHC retraced almost perfectly 50% of the previous rise, which is to be expected after a somewhat blowoff rise Jul to Sep22 - you can look up Gann 50% rule if you want to. So according to that theory (which is not guaranteed to always work) WHC prices have an opportunity for a nice upward rise. Also an inverse head & shoulders pattern is patiently awaiting confirmation and fruition.
Coal prices have retraced further, as shown in the second chart, though so far has found a strong level of support along the previous highs & the 78.6 fib retracement.
Further, total exports of thermal coal are expected to increase to 1 099 Mt (+5.2%) in 2023 & metallurgical coal exports are forecast to reach 340 Mt (+11%) in 2023 - possibly why NHC has been slighting stronger and retraced slightly less - with total coal trade expected to approach the record volumes seen in 2019. It's projected around 1335 Mt which would surpass the 1331 Mt record reached in 2019.
The spot forecast outlook remains strong though a flat projection as shown in the bottom graph, this is where our friend @MirCat will be grateful the BB increased WHC EPS moving forward and brought value to his shares, as the forecasted coal prices may not provide the push in the share price.
Great if you could expand on the rodgering macro reasons view as the more information we have the better armed we are to make more informed decisions. The current setup could likely allow for a few weeks of downward pressure which would be great for a double bottom, honestly, that's my worst case outlook here, hence my stop below that level as that would signal likely further losses.

All complete speculation on my part as well so definitely not advice. GLA cheers.

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Also did some anal-ysis

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WHC Price at posting: $6.34 Sentiment: None Disclosure: Not Held
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(20min delay)
Last $8.61		Change -0.060(0.69%)		Mkt cap ! $7.203B

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
$8.67	$8.69	$8.55	$27.44M	3.184M

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
9	33063	$8.60

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
$8.62	5000	2

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
7	23780	8.600
1	10000	8.590
4	17416	8.580
5	53728	8.570
2	8242	8.560

Price($)	Vol.	No.
8.630	20090	4
8.640	2500	2
8.650	22416	4
8.660	13846	1
8.670	24751	3

Last trade - 16.10pm 12/07/2024 (20 minute delay)

WHC (ASX) Chart

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