.♨️♨️♨️♨️ THE CORONAVIRUS EPIDEMIC AND ITS EFFECT ON LYNAS,...

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♨️♨️♨️♨️ THE CORONAVIRUS EPIDEMIC AND ITS EFFECT ON LYNAS, MALAYSIA AND AUSTRALIA
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The most accurate way to estimate the actual fatality rate of the present corona virus infection is to look at the places where most of the mild cases are also picked up and accounted for.
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The fatality rate in China outside the Hubei province (including its capital Wuhan) is 0.38% according to the Chinese authorities.
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The fatality rate from the Diamond Princess cruise ship where practically all cases are accounted for is 0.99% (705 cases with 7 deaths). Even this may be overestimated because the passengers are mainly older people where the disease is much more serious. No fatality has been reported anywhere in the world of patients younger than 9 years.
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Fatality rate for H1N1 Flu epidemic in 2009 is estimated by the American CDC to be 15X higher than that of the 0.02% estimated by WHO i.e. 0.30%
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Looks like coronavirus is only slightly more deadly than epidemic influenza.
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Most of the deaths from severe viral infections are not directly caused by the virus destroying the
human cells in a massive way but rather due to the INAPPROPRIATELY MASSIVE REACTION TO THE VIRUS BY THE HOST’S IMMUNE SYSTEM.
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For instance the death rate from uncomplicated dengue fever is less than 2 %. Treated dengue
fever has a mortality rate of 2-5%.
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The death rate from untreated dengue
haemorrhagic fever is as high as 50%.
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In the haemorrhagic version of dengue fever, the antibodies from the immune system kills off the virus and this virus-antibody complex sticks to the small vessels of the body and activates the complement cascade which in turn damages the vessel walls and cause these blood vessels to bleed….with
catastrophic results.
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That may be why the anti-malarial drug Chloroquine (which can suppress the immune system) has been found by Chinese doctors to have a beneficial effect on the coronavirus cases.
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Over the years, I have treated hundreds of cases of haemorrhagic dengue fever and I HAVE NOT LOST A SINGLE PATIENT.
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All that needs to be done to save the patient is to carefully monitor the patient’s platelet count and when it drops down to below 10,000 per ml blood (this is when practically all the virus particles has been inactivated by the body’s antibodies) to start the patient on a large dose of steroids. This steroid will decrease the immune respond to a safe appropriate level.
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In the fatal cases in China, I wonder if steroids have been used in the later part of the disease.
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In China, especially in Wuhan, because of the
chaos, only severe cases were detected and the milder ones were missed or ignored or not reported and this has resulted in a erroneously inflated death rate.
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Because the mortality is rather low, this corona virus epidemic is unlikely to affect Lynas in any way.
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In China, the demand of REO may be decrease but there again the detrimental effect on the price of REO of this decrease will be countered by the decrease in the production of REO.
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AND JUST LIKE IN THE WAR OF THE WORLDS,
MALAYSIA AND THE REST OF THE TROPICAL COUNTRIES WILL BE SAVED, (in this case not by the environmental bacteria but) BY THE HEAT, HUMIDITY AND UV RAYS IN THE SUNLIGHT !
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MALAYSIA IS A HOT, HUMID SUNNY COUNTRY AND IS SUCH VERY HOSTILE TO THE CORONA VIRUS. The chance of having a full blown outbreak of corona virus infection here in Malaysia is very slim because the UV light from the sun, the heat and the humidity will kill the virus.
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It is very unlikely to have significant outbreaks of coronavirus cases in all the hot sunny and steamy tropical parts of the world like Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Cambodia, India, Bangladesh and all the tropical parts of Africa and South America.
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It is unnecessary to follow the Chinese and spray the streets with disinfectants...the UV RAYS from the sun will do a much better job of destroying the virus.
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REMEMBER THE DEADLY NIPAH VIRUS, WHICH IS ALSO A CORONA VIRUS IN THE MALAYSIAN PIG FARMS.
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THE OUTBREAK DID NOT LAST LONG PROBABLY BECAUSE THE SUNLIGHT, HEAT AND HUMIDITY KILLED THE VIRUS AND STERILIZED THE ENVIRONMENT PRETTY FAST.
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Multiple outbreaks of Nipah corona virus cases have occurred in India and Bangladesh and because both are tropical countries, the outbreak did not last long.
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In Australia, numerous outbreaks of Hendra virus from fruit bats are self-limiting and do not last long as well.
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Cruise ships with their cool dry air conditioned interior where there is little sunlight, like the one in the Japanese harbour provides the best environment for the propagation of the coronaviruses.
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Cambodia, by allowing the passengers from another cruise liner to disembark, will not be in danger for it is also a tropical country and the hot, steamy sunny environment will not allow the virus to survive for long.
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Air conditioned buildings and other enclosed spaces can be easily disinfected by the use of low intensity UV lamps (with the usual precautions). High intensity UV lamps should be used when the buildings are empty at night.
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As far as disinfectant solutions are concerned, a very weak solution of potassium permanganate KMn04 is one of the cheapest and most effective external bactericidal and
virucidal agent to use (with the usual precautions).
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In the some parts of Indonesia, the wet markets sell all types of wild life including bats and so far there are no significant outbreak of coronavirus probably because the UV rays from the sun constantly and effectively sterilise the environment.
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In Singapore where people spend more than half of their time working or living in cool air-conditioned buildings where the UV rays from sunlight cannot penetrate, the rate of case to case infections will be expected to be high.
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Once the winter ends the COVID-19 epidemic will end and China should be OK