dr looi on fb malaysia, page-2126

Yes, modelling data received today suggests World ex China/Sth Korea just hit peak new daily infections at 0.052% (no death rate).

Interestingly the high/low are both Chinese, Hubei/Wuhan 1.151% vs rest of China just 0.001%, obviously a story there.

Sth Korea 0.019% then Australia 0.025% are by far 'best of the rest' of the countries listed.

Also has a projection EOY case levels vs current, World 3x current 1.1M to 3.3M, but individual countries are dramatically different from China, Sth Korea, Australia which are projected flat vs Iran 8x, UK 3x, US, France 2x, unfortunately Sweden not included.

No indication how they modelled the individual countries but can only presume it didn't include a 9 month lock down!

Four basically on par 5 weeks ago:

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-cases-covid-19?country=AUS MYS NOR SWE

Nil deaths 4 weeks ago:

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-deaths-covid-19?country=AUS MYS NOR SWE

Sweden obviously accepted the higher casualty rate, but the other three yet to manage a staged return from isolation, and perhaps greater economic impact.

Social experiments don't get any more cutting edge than this.