The last time CSL was a great buy was in Nov 2016 when the SP hit a low of around $90. At the point, it was trading at a PE of 23.7 of FY17 earnings - let's round to 24. Based on this historical measure and also looking at the growth profile and safety of earnings, I think a PE of 24 on FY24 earnings would make this a great buy.
Going by the midpoint NPAT guidance supplied by the company, EPS for FY24 should come in around $9.5 per share. Applying a PE of 24 gives a SP of $228.
One thing to note though is the US Fed rate in 2017 was near 0.5% and are approximately 10 times higher at this point with no sign of a slow down. To my way of thinking, an equivalently good bargain as 2017 would be at a lower PE than 24. The question is how much lower can it go than 24. I think that a PE of 22 or even 20 or 18 are not outside the realms of possibility. A PE of under 20 would make this a delightfully juicy buy. However, I'm not holding my breath till it gets there so have entered at the current price.
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Last
$273.30 |
Change
-5.150(1.85%) |
Mkt cap ! $132.0B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$275.10 | $275.24 | $272.37 | $199.1M | 726.7K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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2 | 200 | $273.10 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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$273.34 | 12 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 50 | 273.100 |
3 | 454 | 273.060 |
1 | 100 | 273.000 |
1 | 84 | 272.860 |
1 | 157 | 272.840 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
273.380 | 106 | 1 |
273.450 | 687 | 1 |
273.490 | 399 | 1 |
273.520 | 686 | 1 |
273.580 | 589 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 26/04/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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Last
$273.21 |
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Change
-5.150 ( 1.93 %) |
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Open | High | Low | Volume | ||
$275.24 | $275.24 | $272.38 | 30785 | ||
Last updated 15.59pm 26/04/2024 ? |
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