Geospud I was at odds with the time frame suggested by Neon/Kris...

Geospud I was at odds with the time frame suggested by Neon/Kris of 42-45 days to TD.

Like you I did my own calcs based on similar rigs and depth and came up with average daily progress of 100m per day. Actual drill speed is faster but averages back to this for the periods when cementing etc occur.

So that suggests something very close to what you are suggesting, ie 28 days or so to TD.

I agree with Neon that testing could take a further two weeks.

What we don't know is how progress will be reported. Earlier indicators suggested we would not hear much until it was over. The latest news saying we will get a report just above the first zone may imply more regular updates in which case we could get zone updates. These won't be definitive as you previously pointed out but should help indicate success particularly if gas/oil is in quantity under pressure.

I am hoping we will see around 3 reports over the 28-30 days before a TD report.