NOTE.......This 8.2% is not an overall nation wide average of all parties in government. He specifically points out this is the swing against Labor held seats during Labor governments. Which is exactly what Dunkley was.
"At the eight by-elections in Labor seats during Labor governments, the average swing was 8.2%"
Across the 28 two-party by-elections, the average anti-government two-party preferred swing was 3.5%. It was 4.7% against Labor governments in 17 contests, and 2.3% against Coalition governments in another 11.Of the 28 by-elections, 15 were in government held seats and 13 in seats held by an opposition party. The average swing against government in government held seats was 5.4% compared to only 1.2% in Opposition held seats.At the eight by-elections in Labor seats during Labor governments, the average swing was 8.2% compared to 2.3% in seven similar contests during Coalition governments.
