Citi says Liontown bid needs price bump, counter bid likely analysts Kate McCutcheon and Alexander Papaioanou said Liontown Resources was worth $3 a share after Albemarle lobbed a bid for the company. Citi Australia analyst Kate McCutcheon. The broker’s analysis uses a discounted cashflow analysis and US$1000/t spodumene and US$17,500/t hydroxide price that is not prescribing value to its Buldania project. Liontown received a $2.50 per share bid from US commodities giant Albemarle on Tuesday that sent the stock soaring 68 per cent to $2.57.Citi’s new price target on Liontown is $2.80 per share. “We see the offer as bullish for lithium signalling that the largest producer is keen to secure more supply with low jurisdictional risk. [Albemarle] would take on execution risk, upcoming capex commitments, contracted volumes and approvals. With three offers to date and on-market share purchases, a counter bid seems likely,” the broker said. “To get [Liontown’s] board to the negotiating table, we think the offer needs a bump. ALB says it’s all cash; just as well as a scrip deal would be a harder sell.”
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