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DW8 Growth, page-13321

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LD99

7,118 Posts.

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07/04/22

11:10

Post #: 60711040
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Originally posted by steve10: ↑

Trade buyers should double in a year resulting in x2 increase in Kaddy GMV & suppliers should double in a year also resulting in x2 increase in Kaddy GMV thus x4 increase in Kaddy GMV is feasible.

It will also result in Kaddy fulfilment volume increasing triple digits YOY.

With approx. $12M cash balance DT mentioned there are enough funds until CY23 so cashburn will be about $3M per quarter on average. Might be $1M + $3.5M + $3M + $2.5M next four quarters. Then should be $2M + $1.5M + $1M + $0.5M & then break even. The cash burn ratio will be reducing as revenue increases until break even.

Q3 FY22 revenue estimate is $5.7M + $4.8M NDC = $10.5M - $11.5M expenses = $1M cash burn. May even be close to break even.

May require CR sometime in October this year after Q1 FY23. I estimate they will need a further $5M cash until break even so they may raise about $10M to allow for some buffer. At 5c SP = 200M shares so total SOI will be 2.844B & 7.5% dilution. Worst case say 3c SP = 333.33M shares so total SOI will be 2.977B & 12.6% dilution. Say another 10-15% dilution & Kaddy will be profitable. If they can stretch out funds & have CR sometime in January/February 2023 should result in less dilution. A big customer or flipping another warehouse would make this possible.

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My estimate is around the same Steve.

DW8 Price at posting: 3.1¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
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DW8 Growth, page-13321

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