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07/06/22
09:56
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Originally posted by steve10:
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Allowing for $3M pa savings announced, $1M pa savings for fulfilment, $900k revenue increase x 57% = about $500k extra margin per quarter Q1/Q2/Q4 & $1,250k revenue reduction x 57% = about $700k less margin Q3 it appears there is about $2M cash buffer until cashflow positive. A CR may not be required & there are also another 5 warehouses to flip. Revenue increases are conservative. Q3 FY22 = $3M cash burn - $500k cost savings Q4 FY22 = $2.5M - $500k additional GP Q4 FY22 = -$2M cash burn Q4 FY22 $7.74M cash - $2M Q4 FY22 = $5.74M / $2M = more than 2 quarters Q4 FY22 = $2M cash burn - $250k cost savings = $1.75M - $500k additional GP Q1 FY23 = -$1.25M cash burn Q1 FY23 $5.74M cash - $1.25M Q1 FY23 = $4.49M cash / $1.25M = more than 2 quarters Q1 FY23 = $1.25M cash burn - $250k cost savings = $1M - $500k additional GP Q2 FY23 = -$0.5M cash burn Q2 FY23 $4.49M cash - $0.5M Q2 FY23 = $3.99M / $0.5M = more than 2 quarters Q2 FY23 = $0.5M cash burn + $700k less GP Q3 FY23 = -$1.2M cash burn Q3 FY23 $3.99M cash - $1.2M Q3 FY23 = $2.79M / $1.2M = more than 2 quarters Q3 FY23 = $1.2M cash burn - $500k additional GP Q4 FY23 = -$0.7M cash burn Q4 FY23 $2.79M cash - $0.7M Q4 FY23 = $2.09M / $0.7M = more than 2 quarters Q4 FY23 = $0.7M cash burn - $500k additional GP Q1 FY24 = -$0.2M cash burn Q1 FY24 $2.09M cash - $0.2M = $1.89M / $0.2M = more than 2 quarters Q1 FY24 = $0.2M cash burn - $500k additional GP Q2 FY24 = +$0.3M cash flow positive Q2 FY24 $1.89M cash + $0.3M = $2.19M & cashflow positive
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what a load of crap that all is steve...you have to stop dealing with hypotheticals and look at the real numbers that have been announced...and they aint that good,,,especially the corporate costs and salaries, which are ridiculously high