Early results - Labor doing well in the Upper Hunter, page-4

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Two-Candidate Preferred (2CP)

	Party	Candidate	Votes	%	Swing	Predict
1	NAT	David Layzell	2,469	59.4	+0.2	52.8
2	ALP	Jeff Drayton	1,685	40.6	-0.2	47.2
3		Exhausted Votes	2,008	32.6

• Preference counts have been reported from 18 of the 48 count centres.
• Vote and Vote% columns based on actual 2CP counts.
• The swing column is a 'matched' swing comparing 2CP% in reported count centres.
• The prediction percentage is calculated by applying the 'matched' swing to the overall result of the last election.
• By-election preferences are flowing 14.4% to Nationals, 19.2% to Labor with 66.4% exhausting. In the same polling places at the last election, preferences flowed 15.8% to Nationals, 18.0% to Labor with 66.2% exhausting.

	Party	Candidate	Votes	%	Change	Predict
1	NAT	David Layzell	3,790	34.7	-0.9	33.1
2	ALP	Jeff Drayton	2,065	18.9	-7.1	21.6
3	SFF	Sue Gilroy	1,296	11.9	-11.8	10.3
4	ONP	Dale McNamara	1,133	10.4
5	IND	Kirsty O'Connell	1,081	9.9
6	IND	Tracy Norman	516	4.7
7	GRN	Sue Abbott	376	3.4	-1.6	3.2