Hi Guys
not sure how many listed to webinar , I did and here is a couple of thoughts
ebidtaz for 6 months to Dec was 11 m
ebidtaz for FY 21 estimated to be 25-35m USD with comments made will be towards upper end or even beyond with current oil price and production profile following Infill wells
so we we take higher number for FY it assumes 25m USD ebitdax for second half .
they also said YTD average oil price receive around 54-55 ( including hedges )
so full calendar year EBITDAX would be 24m USD x 2 48m USD at least. Ofcourse second half likely to be higher as they won’t have hedges and oil price likely to average above 55 realised so far this calendar year
my estimate is second half EBITDAX around 30m USD and full calendar year EBITDAX about 55 m USD , which is about 69 m AUD EBITDAX for a Business trading at an EV of about 85 m AUD
unbelievable but true , even more positive is the fact that next years production likely to average closer 12000 -12500 from China after new production comes on stream early 2022
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