Egypt GDP $400 billion
Suez trade $10 billion
Tourism $35 billion.
Assume the conflict cost egypt $25 billion in tourism and $8 billion suez, that could be enough to cause a recession. Poverty incites fundamentalism and the effect of this conflict continuing for a year may result in a change of egypts position. Egypt would be the catalyst for libya and algeria to enter the war, at that point the US postion becomes untenable.
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Egypt GDP $400 billionSuez trade $10 billionTourism $35 billion....
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