this is a reasonable point. A minority government is almost...

this is a reasonable point. A minority government is almost certain in Tas after March - either major party would need an unprecedented swing (anywhere in Aus ever) to take a majority. So there is a 99% chance the Greens will hold the balance of power.

As you correctly point out though the Tas greens have been very vocal about no radical moves or ultimatums.However you could bet your house they will not support any new moves to prop up the pulp mill or Gunns, should it come to that (again!).

http://www.themercury.com.au/article/2010/03/03/131155_election.html