Look mate
You have to understand the difference between what is hoped for vs what is know.
Have a look at stockanalysis report available on the far website.
His main risk was top seal also mine also pre spud also included Hc charge which is somewhat lowered by fan 1 results and the other still on the high risk chance is reservoir.
They are hoping for some sands and limestone reservoirs.
My own view after looking in some what detail is the chance of these being present are extremely low, hence my statement the Sne 1 a buy in well for cp and carin.
Hence te 1 or 2 in 100 odds.
Email response from FAR, page-54
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