1MC 0.00% 0.3¢ morella corporation limited

Still got further to go. My excel spreadsheet has $1.84 based on...

  1. 90 Posts.
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    Still got further to go.

    My excel spreadsheet has $1.84 based on them delivering what they say they will. IF things are less than ideal -  61c. Either way, you're winning.

    Here are some of my assumptions. Feedback very welcome

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3
    1 STAGE 1   Base case  
    2 cost to produce per Tonne (AU) 316  
    3 FY18 productiion estimate 219000  
    4 Liuthium cocentrate price (USD)   950  
    5 AUD/USD   0.77  
    6 Capital costs AU $110,000,000  
    7 Annual interest (15%) $16,500,000  
    8 Other long term debt $17,000,000  
    9 Long term debt repayments (10%) $1,700,000.0  
    10 estimated profit AU 182,790,805  
    11 Number of years to complete 0.6  
    12 Discount per year 15%  
    13 Adjusted profit AU $166,339,633  
    14 P/E   11  
    15 market cap   1,829,735,960  
    16 Cash   13,300,000  
    17 Enterprise value 1,843,035,960  
    18 Share options 77,000,000  
    19 Number of shares 1,751,322,513  
    20 fair value share price (stage 1 only) $1.01  
    21      
    22      
    23 STAGE 2    
    24 tonnes per year 230,000  
    25 capital costs 70,000,000  
    26 annual interest (15%) 10,500,000  
    27 estimated profit fot stage 2 200,586,234  
    28 number of years to complete 2.0  
    29 discount per year 15%  
    30 adjusted profit AU 140,410,364  
    31 market cap at project level 1,544,514,000  
    32 share price attributed to stage 2 0.84  
    33 combined market cap 3,387,549,960  
    34 combined share price $1.84  
    Last edited by bgbuc1: 07/11/17
 
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