ljduffel,From the research I have done I would expect the UIC to...

ljduffel,
From the research I have done I would expect the UIC to either fold or at least divide between extremist and moderate.
The situation we are whitnessing atm is a result of continual niggling by the UIC toward the TFG and it would seem the line in the sand has been drawn for some time south of Biadoa.
If you were to look at the logistics you would see that the TFG by way of it's supporters out numbers the UIC in every way.
The reported recruitment of ill trained teenagers is a sign of desperation in my eyes.
As far as Range ,Puntland is concerned it is highly unlikley that the UIC will get anywhere near them.

Longclaw